Following 16 consecutive years of population decline, Newfoundland and Labrador's population grew slightly in 2009. According to Statistics Canada's second quarter population statistics for 2010, the province's population has declined slightly.
While the end of year numbers will give a clear sense of the overall annual trend, long-term population projections point to an overall decline for Newfoundland and Labrador, and for the neighboring Maritime provinces as well. The decline amongst the key cohort of 17–29 year-olds, in particular, will present enrollment challenges for post-secondary institutions in the Atlantic region.
According to projections provided by Statistics Canada in 2007, if post-secondary participation rates were to remain at the average level that existed between 2003/2004 and 2005/2006, university enrollments in the Atlantic provinces would be expected to decline following the trend I have plotted below.
Source: Statistics Canada. (2007). Post-secondary Enrolment Trends to 2031, Three Scenarios.
Thursday, 30 September, 2010
Population trends to challenge Atlantic institutions
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